Stock Market Stages_ Các gia đoạn của Stock

Phân tích các giai đoạn của stock chart.
Để trade stock thành công, trước tiên bạn phải hiểu được 4 giai đoạn riêng biệt của stock và toàn bộ market đi qua.
Những chu kỳ sẽ chỉ báo cho bạn đầu tư lâu dài, ngắn hạn hay nắm giữ tiền (cash).
_ Một khi bạn có thể xác định được thị trường đang ở giai đoạn nào, sau đó bạn có thể mua bán theo đặc diểm của từng giai đoạn .
_ Có đôi khi bạn không biết phài làm gì trong lúc này,go long, short hay năm tiền? Đây là 4 chu kỳ mà stock trải qua:
Stage One

Stage 1 is the stage right after a prolonged downtrend. This stock has been going down but now it is starting to trade sideways forming a base. The sellers who once had the upper hand are now beginning to lose their power because of the buyers starting to get more aggressive. The stock just drifts sideways without a clear trend. Everyone hates this stock!
Stage Two

Finally stocks break out into Stage 2 and begins the uptrend. Oh, the glory of stage 2!! Sometimes I have dreams of stocks in Stage 2! This is where the majority of the money is made in the stock market. But here is the funny thing: No one believes the rally! That’s right, everyone still hates the stock. The fundamentals are bad, the outlook is negative, etc. But professional traders know better. They are accumulating shares and getting ready to dump it off to those getting in late. This sets up stage 3.
Stage Three

Finally, after the glorious advance of stage 2, the stock begins to trade sideways again and starts to "churn". Novice traders are just now getting in! This stage is very similar to stage 1. Buyers and sellers move into equilibrium again and the stock just drifts along. It is now ready to begin the next stage.
Stage Four

This is the dreaded downtrend for those that are long this stock. But, you know what the funny thing is? You guessed it. Nobody believes the downtrend! The fundamentals are probably still very good and everyone still loves this stock. They think the downtrend is just a “correction”. Wrong! They hold and hold and hold, hoping it will reverse back up again. They probably bought at the end of Stage 2 or during Stage 3. Sorry, you lose. Checkmate!

Here is an example:

chart of stages

Stock market stages occur in all time frames on every chart you look at. This could be a five minute chart of Microsoft or a weekly chart of the Dow.

Generally, you want to stay in cash when a stock (or the market itself) is chopping around in a stage one. In stage two you will want to be aggressively focusing on long positions. In stage three you want to be in cash. In stage four you want to be aggressively focusing on short positions.

That’s all there is to it. I told you that trading with stock market stages would be painless!